Berlin 2008 – scientific programme

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AKA: Arbeitskreis Physik und Abrüstung

AKA 5: Missile Proliferation and Missile Defense

AKA 5.2: Talk

Thursday, February 28, 2008, 15:30–16:00, H 0110

Iran and Missile Defence - A Realistic Assessment — •Robert Schmucker and Markus Schiller — Schmucker Technologie, München, Deutschland

The present discussion on the missile system in Europe against Iran's developing missile threat is mostly dictated by politics and ideology so that technical aspects are more and more vanishing. However, these disturbing factors must be eliminated to arrive at the better answer.

This subject must take three different topics into account - the future of Iran's nuclear weapon activities plus its delivery systems, Iran's proliferation partners and the role of North Korea, and the real potential and effectiveness of missile defence.

Analyzing these different subjects separately, especially by considering the results of the past activities, allows a clear statement for the present situation. By extrapolating for the next 10 - 20 years, the likely future situation for Iran's weapons and missile defence can be assessed. Combining these subjects will help to arrive a better solution for this heavely debated issue.