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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung

AGA 2: Missile Defense and Threat Analysis

AGA 2.1: Hauptvortrag

Mittwoch, 4. März 2009, 16:30–17:30, VMP 9 HS

Missile Defense in and for Europe: Inmature Technology and Counterproductive Reactions — •Götz Neuneck — IFSH, Beim Schlump 83; 20144 Hamburg

Political statements are concluding that ballistic missile defense is "technically feasible".They are also recognizing that a "substantial contribution to the protection of Allies from long-range ballistic missiles to be provided by the planned deployment of European-based United States missile defence assets". On the other hand, the Russian government claims that such a system undermines strategic stability. A technical analysis shows that the planned Ground-based Midcourse Ballistic Missile Defense system in Europe has very limited defense capabilities. It is clear that the GMD system cannot match countermeasures (such as decoys, warhead replica balloons etc.) thus creating an illusionary protection. The talk explains the short-term as well as long-term consequences in the light of future disarmament and non-proliferation.