Berlin 2012 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 19: Social Systems, Opinion and Group Dynamics II

SOE 19.3: Vortrag

Donnerstag, 29. März 2012, 12:00–12:15, H 0110

Can We Measure Nations' Solidarity and Justice? — •Hermann Rampacher — Seehaldenstraße 10 D-88662 Überlingen

Assuming social systems could be stabilized by specific n-tupels [r(i)] of social rules, solidarity and justice using these rules can become observables. Each rule prohibits an action, which risks with probability p(i)the stability of the global cicilization. If a certaim rule r(i) is broken, this contributes to self-destroying the global cicilization and as well to harm individuals. The [n(i)] have to be constructed by computer simulation, because the rules r(i) are mutually strongly correlated and compatible. Elementary rules can be identified using thought experiments, non-elementary rules only by empirical research. Breaking a first rule does effect breaking of all those rules with first rule. The grater the risks p(i, the lower the nation's solidarity; optimal yolidarity can be reached only if all agents contribute actively. The values of the p(j)) belonging to rules, prohibiting violence measure a nation's social temperature T. Hence a higher T is an alarm signal. To measure J we concentrate on the breaking of elementary rules. State authorities have to intervene to limit the harm arising from broken rules. The value of the nation's total harm after all contraventions of r plus all interventions measures the actual valuJ. This approach can serve to diagnose an nation's current situation and its foreseeable evaluation in the nearest future.