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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 18: Focus Session: Modern Power Grid, Nonlinear Dynamics and Self-Organization (joint with DY)

SOE 18.1: Hauptvortrag

Mittwoch, 13. März 2013, 15:00–15:30, H44

Energiewende 2.0 * the transformation of energy systems in uncertain times — •Jürgen-Fr. Hake and Wolfgang Fischer — FZ Jülich

The German Energiewende represents a very ambitious national political program. The specific targets range from GHG emissions reduction motivated by the mitigation of climate change to technology specific goals emphasizing renewable energy in contrast to nuclear energy. The scope of the Energiewende covers a period of time of about 40 years. Scenario-based analyses point out the feasibility of this politically enforced transformation. A closer look at these scenarios also shows their limitations with respect to the socio-economic foundation and the technological differentiation. Moreover, in many cases linear models are used to describe the system under investigation which might be regarded as another weak point. These deficiencies require an integrated assessment covering **in- depth description of the anticipated major socio-political trends, **the economic embedding of the energy sector, and **an detailed well-balanced technology portfolio. A major criterion for all national initiatives is the compatibility with the transformation of the EU system.