Berlin 2014 – scientific programme
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AGA: Arbeitsgruppe Physik und Abrüstung
AGA 5: Verification Methodologies
AGA 5.2: Talk
Thursday, March 20, 2014, 12:30–13:00, DO24 Reuter Saal
Information and Risk-driven Verfication - An Innovative Approach? — •Clemens Listner1, Gotthard Stein2, Irmgard Niemeyer1, Morton J. Canty1, and Arnold Rezniczek3 — 1Forschungszentrum Jülich, Jülich, Germany — 2Consultant, Bonn, Germany — 3UBA GmbH, Herzogenrath, Germany
As a result of the inability to detect the Iraq's clandestine nuclear weapons programme, the IAEA realised the need to give greater consideration to the State as a whole, rather than focusing primarily on nuclear material and facilities declared by the State. This has led to an approach known as the State-level concept. It allows for an assessment of a State's technical capabilities to acquire weapon grade nuclear material and the potential risk of such scenarios.
The paper gives an overview of the major principles of this approach and explores how far these ideas could also be implemented in other fields of international agreements where verification of treaty compliance is essential. Furthermore, it will be shown how the concept could be applied to the field of nuclear disarmament. By enhancing the ability to verify nuclear disarmament, it could thus serve as a driver for further multinational and international negotiations.