Berlin 2015 – wissenschaftliches Programm
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DY: Fachverband Dynamik und Statistische Physik
DY 20: Focus Session: Complex Contagion Phenmomena (joint session SOE/ DY/ BP)
DY 20.8: Vortrag
Dienstag, 17. März 2015, 12:30–12:45, MA 001
Spatio-temporal dynamics of the cholera epidemic of 1831/1832 in Austria — •Michael Leitner1 and Gero Vogl2 — 1Heinz Maier-Leibnitz Zentrum (MLZ), Technische Universität München, Lichtenbergstr. 1, 85748 Garching, Germany — 2Fakultät für Physik, Universität Wien, Boltzmanngasse 5, 1090 Wien, Austria
Caused by large-scale troop movements in the Russian empire, cholera reached Europe in 1830 and caused the first cholera pandemic to affect the western world. Within the confined region of Weinviertel in Lower Austria (approx. 5000 km2), first cases were registered in 1831, while major outbreaks followed in the summer months of 1832. We reconstructed the dynamics of the disease from the causes of death in the clerical burial records on the temporal scale of single days and spatial scale of single villages. We analyze the data in terms of connectivity, both concerning geographical distance and bodies of flowing water. In contrast to analyzes of recent epidemics, we hope to obtain finer-resolution information on the dynamics due to the lower human mobility in past times.