Berlin 2015 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 14: Fluctuating Electricity Supply: Modelling of Generation, Backup and Storage (joint session AKE / DY / SOE)

SOE 14.5: Vortrag

Mittwoch, 18. März 2015, 16:15–16:30, A 151

The temporal development of storage needs in the European energy transition — •Alexander Kies, Lüder von Bremen, and Bruno Schyska — ForWind, Universität Oldenburg, Oldenburg

Europe is on the way towards a highly renewable energy system. In 2012 23.5% of the gross electricity consumption in the EU-28 was produced from renewable sources. This share is expected to increase further up to very high penetration levels close to 100% in the next decades. To ensure reliability and stability of the power system several solutions to the generation-load-mismatch problem have been proposed like over-installation of renewables, transmission capacity extensions and the use of storages. In this work we investigate the development of storage needs in 34 European countries for different transmission grid scenarios until 2050. A large weather data set with a spatial resolution of 7 x 7 km and a hourly temporal resolution covering Europe is used to model the fluctuating feed-in from the renewables, i.e. wind, photovoltaics, hydro, concentrated solar power and wave. Additionally the controllable renewable generation types biomass and geothermal were considered. Starting from the renewable shares in the year 2012 we model the increase in renewable capacities in a linear and a logistic way until levels of 100% in 2050 for different transmission grid scenarios and calculate the storage needs for every year. The remaining generation shares to cover the load are assumed to come from conventional generation. We show that storage needs are unlikely to grow rapidly until 2030, but thereafter are of high importance. However, this process can be slowed down considerably by transmission grid extensions.