Berlin 2015 – scientific programme
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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme
SOE 17: Social Systems, Opinion and Group Dynamics
SOE 17.5: Talk
Thursday, March 19, 2015, 10:30–10:45, MA 001
A conceptual statistical framework to compare different sports and its application in basketball, handball and soccer — •Jens Smiatek1, Dennis Riedl2,3, and Andreas Heuer2 — 1Institut für Computerphysik, Universität Stuttgart, Allmandring 3, 70569 Stuttgart, Germany — 2Institut für Physikalische Chemie, Universität Münster, Corrensstrasse 28/30, 48149 Münster, Germany — 3Institut für Sportwissenschaft, Universität Münster, Horstmarer Landweg 62 b, 48149 Münster, Germany
We present a statistical framework to analyze the main properties of soccer, handball and basketball. Our approach is based on time series analysis and statistical mathematics without model parameters. The framework allows us to elucidate stochastic contributions as well as team strengths and their persistence in time. We compare the importance of offense and defense ability in team sports and investigate the underlying differences. Our findings indicate significant deviations as well as similarities between the considered leagues and sports. The outcomes of our analysis can be of interest for a deeper understanding of the characteristics of popular sports games and the prediction of match results in relation to stochastic contributions.