Regensburg 2016 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 18: Social Systems, Opinion and Group Dynamics: Opinions and Innovations

SOE 18.2: Vortrag

Mittwoch, 9. März 2016, 16:30–16:45, H36

Fostering Peace - The normative Peace Project — •Hermann Rampacher — Rampacher & Partner GbR VDE

In normative socio-dynamics for every society sets of mutually correlated actions {a(i)} can be constructed. If an a(i) is done a potential damage d is arising, measured by the average collective cost of restoring the situation ex ante. If all a(i) are refrained from doing, the potential damage is minimal and peace between men, states, and between men and nature are maintained. In other word: If all norms n(i), which forbid the a(i), are obeyed, the over-all peace is maintained. If the collective co-operation is declining, the n(i) are violated more frequently: peace is put in risk. To restore peace on a lower level, agents have to intervene by fostering compliance with n(i) of higher d[n[a(i)]] at the expense of compliance with n(j) of lower d[[a(j)]]. Every intervention entails risks. Their value depends on the competence of the responsible agents and the ressources they have. once the violations of norms with lower damage potantial reaches a critical level, the interventions are bocoming out of all propotions to restore peace. Hence more violations of norms by further agents are likely to result as side-effects of the primary interventions. Hence these violations my spread - due to correlations between the a(j) - in the manner of an epidemic or pandemic: justice an peace are declining rapidyl.