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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 20: Economic models III

SOE 20.1: Vortrag

Mittwoch, 9. März 2016, 17:30–17:45, H36

National growth as part of the natural sciences and EU divergence — •Hans G Danielmeyer and Thomas Martinetz — Institut für Neuro- und Bioinformatik, Uni Lübeck

We use our natural theory of macroeconomic growth for little projects that may reverse the disintegration of the EU.

The theory's analytic solutions reproduce the per capita leading G7 nation's data without fitting parameter for the educational and technical infrastructure, annual working and spare time, GDP and life expectancy. Economic equilibrium between demand and supply is provided by industrial engineering with technical progress. The inherited and educated human capacities synchronize technical progress for half a millennium with the mean G7 life expectancy. Since all long-term parameters are biologic constants of the human species the theory has forecasting power.

The OECD publishes the classical data for EU nations with traditional policy recommendations. Every inconsistency with the natural theory identifies a national problem. The idea is that a small group of young SOE members divides the provided OECD reports, inserts the OECD data into the G7 plots of the natural theory, and compares the OECD recommendations with the recommendations following from the nation's position in the plots.

The results will be reported in SOE 2017.