Dresden 2017 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 15: Focus Session: Cities as complex systems

SOE 15.1: Vortrag

Mittwoch, 22. März 2017, 15:00–15:15, GÖR 226

Urban Economic Development: Agriculture, Industry, and Services — •Diego Rybski, Prajal Pradhan, and Jürgen P. Kropp — Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research -- PIK, Member of Leibniz Association, P.O. Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany

With the purpose of analyzing the sectoral composition of cities' gross domestic product (GDP) we consider US Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSA) and the partitioning into agrarian, industrial, and service GDP. In order to characterize the transfer of GDP shares between the sectors in the course of economic development we explore a simple system of differential equations which has previously been proposed for countries. Fitting the model to more than 90 MSA we find that according to the obtained parameters the majority belongs to 5 of 8 groups. The purely consecutive transfer is not representative for the set of MSA.