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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 18: Economic Models II

SOE 18.5: Vortrag

Donnerstag, 23. März 2017, 16:00–16:15, GÖR 226

Solving Europe's most critical problems — •Hans G Danielmeyer and Thomas Martinetz — INB Uni Luebeck

Under SOE's umbrella we discovered and described the industrial society's natural long-term dynamics. The complexity of its main subsystems is prohibitive, but all constructive interactions of human nature and systems engineering reduce to six physical relations with three inherited time constants of the human species. Six unique analytic solutions reproduce the main G7 level data without fitting parameter. This includes per capita saturation and aging.

Unfortunately, zero interest and financial instability prevent reaching the natural final states. We suggest now long-term correction paths for Europe's 10 G7 level nations. In 2100 they may be dominated by healthy seniors unless retirement age increases by 1 year every 6 years. The money meant for subsidizing growth arrived in the top decile's 55 and 90% total income and wealth. This must be corrected because it forms a transnational class and a weakened middle class with the corresponding public debt. When the middle is lost as national stronghold extreme wing parties challenge democratic governments successfully as observed.