Berlin 2018 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 7: Poster

SOE 7.6: Poster

Montag, 12. März 2018, 17:00–20:00, Poster E

Are democracies stable? A case study on rise and fall of extremists in Europe — •Kai Seegers, Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad, and Philipp Hövel — Institut für Theoretische Physik, TU Berlin

A German proverb says *competition stimulates business*. This seems to hold true for many examples from politics to economics. Recent outcomes of elections in France, Germany and Austria have shown an increase of power of formerly small right wing parties after the established parties seemed to stop provoking each other and thus lost many votes. Similar examples can be found in marketing of companies, artists creating a fan base and more. In this work we investigate the dynamic of opinions in a population in connection with control measures of different parties with focus on addressing, challenging and attacking the other parties by applying techniques from data mining and analysis of collected digital data. Then we develop a novel approach to model this phenomenon. Finally we compare the real outcome with simulated data and discuss the successful stable strategies for future scenarios.