Regensburg 2022 – wissenschaftliches Programm

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SOE: Fachverband Physik sozio-ökonomischer Systeme

SOE 9: Physics of Contagion Processes

SOE 9.2: Vortrag

Dienstag, 6. September 2022, 10:45–11:00, H11

Assessing the effectiveness of COVID intervention measures in small communities using agent-based simulations — •Jana Lasser — Graz University of Technology, Graz, Austria — Complexity Science Hub Vienna, Vienna, Austria

The necessity of intervention measures like the wearing of masks, preventive testing and vaccinations to prevent the spread of COVID-19 have been vigorously in our societies. At the centre of these discussions is the effectiveness of these measures in suppressing large outbreaks. With our research, we contribute the necessary facts to the discussion by simulating the spread of COVID-19 using agent-based simulations that are calibrated to empirical outbreak data. Here we present three application cases of our simulations: (i) the development of a preventive testing strategy in nursing homes in a situation where no vaccinations are available yet, (ii) the assessment of the effectiveness of different combinations of measures in schools and (iii) an evaluation of the feasibility of preventing large outbreaks while requiring in-presence teaching in universities under the condition of community spreading of the Omicron variant.